Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.800277 0.934632 1.084360 1.263571 1.472258 1.707635 1.993352
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.572650 0.747081 0.963571 1.251964 1.626210 2.095737 2.730210
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.451746 0.637782 0.887089 1.245532 1.747975 2.427913 3.419566
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.377636 0.568507 0.840746 1.257192 1.878657 2.772917 4.160428
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.309615 0.492751 0.768433 1.213387 1.914336 2.977929 4.718859
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.285989 0.478251 0.781898 1.295961 2.145731 3.497405 5.817651
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.243206 0.425585 0.726572 1.258922 2.178593 3.705972 6.444483
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.207526 0.378745 0.673059 1.215140 2.190648 3.876774 7.024194
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.179161 0.340104 0.627497 1.177290 2.205181 4.049420 7.624106
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.163745 0.322553 0.616471 1.199143 2.328277 4.426418 8.639614
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.157542 0.321380 0.635036 1.278134 2.567297 5.043378 10.184305
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.146892 0.309844 0.632056 1.314311 2.726957 5.527325 11.529976
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.133675 0.291682 0.614514 1.320735 2.831710 5.924333 12.770899
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.120313 0.271366 0.590024 1.309686 2.899502 6.256712 13.927052
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.109040 0.253909 0.569076 1.303019 2.975085 6.613616 15.182568
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.100608 0.241580 0.557494 1.315219 3.093384 7.076197 16.733537
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.088986 0.220148 0.522671 1.269401 3.072956 7.227597 17.591070
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.087431 0.222565 0.542951 1.355770 3.373717 8.148510 20.385683
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.078242 0.204844 0.513239 1.317028 3.367265 8.347917 21.456718
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.069722 0.187599 0.482408 1.271234 3.336966 8.485506 22.391413
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.062495 0.172692 0.455455 1.231644 3.317032 8.645764 23.405361
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.059041 0.167405 0.452452 1.254502 3.463420 9.245482 25.655342
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.058508 0.170084 0.470717 1.337124 3.781190 10.329709 29.357779